What an hour of the day is worth
Hours repeated
10.7%
of markets, against 1.6% by chance
Chaos-quoted
+1.74%
median out of sample, 70% profitable
Divine-quoted
0.00%
median out of sample, 46% profitable
Roughly a hundred chaos-quoted markets carry this and pay about 1.7% on a median day, seventy percent of the time. Divine-quoted markets have profiles just as stable and no amplitude worth taking: zero out of sample, profitable less often than a coin. The top of the list reaches twenty percent, which is where the work is.
37 markets deep enough to profile
| Market | Buy → sell | Out of sample | Whole window | Hours held | Cause | Div / hour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h→1hUTC | 21.0% | 35.8% | held | chaos clock | 632.5 | |
| 23h→7hUTC | 15.8% | 20.3% | held | chaos clock | 401 | |
| 21h→3hUTC | 14.2% | 21.1% | held | chaos clock | 765.6 | |
| 20h→7hUTC | 13.9% | 15.6% | held | chaos clock | 835.6 | |
| 6h→21hUTC | 12.5% | 19.2% | held | chaos clock | 182.2 | |
| 13h→2hUTC | 11.5% | 11.9% | held | chaos clock | 221 | |
| 1h→12hUTC | 6.3% | 14.7% | held | chaos clock | 222.4 | |
| 9h→0hUTC | 6.1% | 6.6% | held | chaos clock | 399.3 | |
| 8h→23hUTC | 5.8% | 8.8% | held | chaos clock | 418.9 | |
| 12h→0hUTC | 5.4% | 6.0% | held | its own | 9.0k | |
| 12h→21hUTC | 4.3% | 8.0% | held | its own | 927 | |
| 13h→0hUTC | 1.2% | 20.2% | held | its own | 276.5 | |
| 18h→0hUTC | 1.2% | 4.5% | held | chaos clock | 132.1 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 518.5 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 1.1k | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 108 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 1.5k | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 81 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 546.5 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 2.3k | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 2.8k | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 194 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | its own | 807 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 175 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 772.1 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 143.1 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 143.1 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 59.6 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 51 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 93.7 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 58.7 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 60.3 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 78.7 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 190.8 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 79.3 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 52 | |
| 0h→0hUTC | 0.0% | 0.0% | held | chaos clock | 68 |