What an hour of the day is worth
Hours repeated
10.7%
of markets, against 1.6% by chance
Chaos-quoted
+1.74%
median out of sample, 70% profitable
Divine-quoted
0.00%
median out of sample, 46% profitable
Roughly a hundred chaos-quoted markets carry this and pay about 1.7% on a median day, seventy percent of the time. Divine-quoted markets have profiles just as stable and no amplitude worth taking: zero out of sample, profitable less often than a coin. The top of the list reaches twenty percent, which is where the work is.
349 markets deep enough to profile
| Market | Buy → sell | Out of sample | Whole window | Hours held | Cause | Div / hour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h→22hUTC | 25.3% | 30.1% | moved | chaos clock | 127.8 | |
| 0h→8hUTC | 23.2% | 22.0% | moved | chaos clock | 198.6 | |
| 5h→15hUTC | 21.5% | 35.2% | moved | chaos clock | 73.2 | |
| 11h→1hUTC | 21.0% | 35.8% | held | chaos clock | 632.5 | |
| 7h→23hUTC | 20.0% | 23.6% | moved | chaos clock | 96.9 | |
| 8h→2hUTC | 16.1% | 27.1% | moved | chaos clock | 818.9 | |
| 23h→7hUTC | 15.8% | 20.3% | held | chaos clock | 401 | |
| 11h→0hUTC | 15.3% | 22.9% | moved | chaos clock | 196.1 | |
| 11h→23hUTC | 14.6% | 15.4% | moved | chaos clock | 408.6 | |
| 23h→8hUTC | 14.6% | 23.4% | moved | chaos clock | 170.3 | |
| 4h→19hUTC | 14.2% | 8.5% | moved | chaos clock | 131.8 | |
| 21h→3hUTC | 14.2% | 21.1% | held | chaos clock | 765.6 | |
| 15h→2hUTC | 14.0% | 30.7% | moved | chaos clock | 1.6k | |
| 20h→7hUTC | 13.9% | 15.6% | held | chaos clock | 835.6 | |
| 10h→0hUTC | 13.8% | 18.8% | moved | chaos clock | 4.1k | |
| 8h→22hUTC | 13.6% | 19.4% | moved | its own | 1.1k | |
| 7h→22hUTC | 13.5% | 22.1% | moved | chaos clock | 51.1 | |
| 6h→0hUTC | 12.6% | 17.5% | moved | its own | 165.9 | |
| 20h→6hUTC | 12.6% | 13.0% | moved | its own | 74.5 | |
| 6h→21hUTC | 12.5% | 19.2% | held | chaos clock | 182.2 | |
| 4h→0hUTC | 12.5% | 16.9% | moved | chaos clock | 142.8 | |
| 5h→18hUTC | 12.4% | 19.2% | moved | its own | 160.9 | |
| 0h→7hUTC | 12.2% | 16.8% | moved | chaos clock | 586.3 | |
| 22h→7hUTC | 11.7% | 19.3% | moved | chaos clock | 201.4 | |
| 13h→2hUTC | 11.5% | 11.9% | held | chaos clock | 221 | |
| 10h→21hUTC | 11.4% | 13.6% | moved | its own | 85.2 | |
| 6h→22hUTC | 11.3% | 21.2% | moved | chaos clock | 96 | |
| 4h→19hUTC | 10.9% | 10.1% | moved | chaos clock | 144 | |
| 17h→10hUTC | 10.6% | 20.8% | moved | chaos clock | 195.5 | |
| 13h→0hUTC | 10.5% | 14.9% | moved | chaos clock | 354.7 | |
| 11h→23hUTC | 10.5% | 12.2% | moved | its own | 254 | |
| 13h→3hUTC | 10.1% | 10.9% | moved | its own | 76 | |
| 9h→22hUTC | 10.0% | 14.8% | moved | chaos clock | 403.4 | |
| 15h→22hUTC | 10.0% | 13.5% | moved | chaos clock | 404.3 | |
| 10h→1hUTC | 9.8% | 12.4% | moved | its own | 70 | |
| 14h→1hUTC | 9.8% | 15.9% | moved | chaos clock | 462.4 | |
| 9h→0hUTC | 9.5% | 6.0% | moved | chaos clock | 56.5 | |
| 6h→0hUTC | 9.1% | 21.4% | moved | chaos clock | 194.3 | |
| 19h→7hUTC | 9.1% | 14.4% | moved | its own | 88 | |
| 2h→13hUTC | 8.9% | 8.0% | moved | its own | 173.2 | |
| 14h→2hUTC | 8.4% | 13.5% | moved | chaos clock | 66.6 | |
| 0h→15hUTC | 8.0% | 12.8% | moved | its own | 52 | |
| 13h→21hUTC | 8.0% | 10.3% | moved | its own | 364.2 | |
| 23h→5hUTC | 7.9% | 11.4% | moved | chaos clock | 627.4 | |
| 0h→14hUTC | 7.7% | 13.0% | moved | chaos clock | 226.7 | |
| 0h→3hUTC | 7.7% | 6.8% | moved | its own | 103 | |
| 14h→21hUTC | 7.7% | 10.9% | moved | chaos clock | 1.9k | |
| 8h→3hUTC | 7.3% | 8.1% | moved | its own | 736.1 | |
| 0h→17hUTC | 7.3% | 11.1% | moved | its own | 87 | |
| 8h→16hUTC | 7.2% | 13.4% | moved | chaos clock | 2.3k | |
| 6h→1hUTC | 7.0% | 12.6% | moved | its own | 72.3 | |
| 0h→10hUTC | 7.0% | 12.0% | moved | chaos clock | 363.9 | |
| 7h→23hUTC | 6.7% | 6.7% | moved | chaos clock | 281.5 | |
| 22h→4hUTC | 6.5% | 6.7% | moved | its own | 261.1 | |
| 23h→5hUTC | 6.5% | 11.5% | moved | chaos clock | 1.2k | |
| 1h→12hUTC | 6.3% | 14.7% | held | chaos clock | 222.4 | |
| 6h→14hUTC | 6.1% | 13.6% | moved | chaos clock | 90.1 | |
| 9h→0hUTC | 6.1% | 6.6% | held | chaos clock | 399.3 | |
| 22h→9hUTC | 6.1% | 10.1% | moved | chaos clock | 2.5k | |
| 0h→13hUTC | 6.0% | 9.7% | moved | chaos clock | 77.3 |