poe-market

Circuits worth workingCircuits worth workingThis project refuted three-leg loops twice, and both refutations were about the average loop. Splitting the wide ones by how deep their thinnest leg is, the cross-rate divergence runs +10.2% at under 50 divine an hour and +3.0% above a thousand — it decays with depth and does not vanish. The earlier bucketing conflated a wide band with a thin market and called both phantoms. Everything here passes a depth gate, and the cross is measured only in hours when all three legs traded.

Route	Cross-rateCross-rateThe product of the three mid rates, measured only in hours when every leg traded. One means the three prices agree and the circuit is worth no more than three separate round trips — everything above one is the market pricing the same item two ways at once. It is shown beside how often it was positive because a wide cross that holds half the time is a coin flip with a long tail, not an edge. Three medians taken over three different sets of hours is not a cross-rate at all; that mistake is how an earlier version of this reported 95%.	Profit / circuit	Per circuit	Div / hour	Gold / hour	Thinnest legThinnest legDivine of value the narrowest leg moves in an hour — never units. Counted in pieces, a market moving 24,182 jeweller an hour looked deep and was four divine, and it took the top of this list with a 158% cross that no one could have taken. Depth is the gate here rather than band width: a 29% band on eleven thousand units is a price that genuinely ranges, and the same band on five units is two fills.
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Stacked Deck→	11.7%86% of hours	5.58	38 min	8.88	522.0k	2.3k
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Trarthan Scarab of Infamy→	11.9%83% of hours	6.61	50 min	7.90	617.7k	136
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Divination Scarab of Plenty→	12.5%80% of hours	6.29	79 min	4.77	528.0k	67.4
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Ancient Orb→	13.5%83% of hours	6.71	95 min	4.23	401.2k	314
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Ultimatum Scarab of Catalysing→	8.3%83% of hours	4.99	86 min	3.48	167.1k	594.5
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Simulacrum→	12.9%75% of hours	7.23	127 min	3.42	149.7k	221.6
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Orb of Annulment→	7.8%78% of hours	5.05	101 min	2.99	287.9k	223
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Chromatic Orb→	15.3%79% of hours	7.72	163 min	2.85	—	454.9
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Vivid Crystallised Lifeforce→	0.7%56% of hours	2.15	47 min	2.77	298.5k	1.2k
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Orb of Alteration→	14.9%87% of hours	7.45	167 min	2.67	358.3k	170.2
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Prismatic Catalyst→	11.3%83% of hours	6.35	157 min	2.43	—	164.2
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Harvest Scarab of Doubling→	3.8%64% of hours	3.49	89 min	2.35	206.5k	354.8
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Eldritch Chaos Orb→	10.9%76% of hours	6.73	187 min	2.16	—	238.1
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Message in a Bottle→	1.5%57% of hours	3.23	91 min	2.14	—	1.1k
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Trarthan Scarab of Renown→	18.5%96% of hours	8.57	258 min	2.00	127.3k	63.3
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Grand Eldritch Ember→	5.8%75% of hours	3.65	118 min	1.86	—	459.5
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Legion Scarab of Eternal Conflict→	19.2%88% of hours	9.79	322 min	1.83	51.6k	57.2
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Dead Man's Sulphur→	1.8%67% of hours	1.98	68 min	1.74	—	663.9
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Awakener's Orb→	7.7%82% of hours	4.56	161 min	1.70	—	252.9
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Ambush Scarab of Containment→	8.4%79% of hours	5.62	203 min	1.66	75.9k	351
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Horned Scarab of Bloodlines→	10.4%85% of hours	6.12	238 min	1.54	59.5k	499.7
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Divination Scarab of The Cloister→	3.7%64% of hours	3.15	139 min	1.36	197.8k	956.8
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Deafening Essence of Scorn→	0.9%54% of hours	3.32	152 min	1.31	—	118.6
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→Veiled Chaos Orb→	7.3%72% of hours	5.56	258 min	1.29	57.4k	66.5
Divine Orb→Chaos Orb→The Immortal→	12.4%91% of hours	4.86	230 min	1.27	58.7k	54.3